A failed indie launch typically wastes $5,000-$50,000 in marketing spend. We give you calibrated revenue ranges — not point estimates — so you can plan budget under uncertainty. Conformal-prediction methodology with coverage guarantees, plus five real comp launches per forecast. Shipping June 2026. Pre-sale $50 locks in beta access + 3 months at public launch — then $19/mo or $199/year (save $29).
For each historical launch, our Boxleiter forecast vs the actual outcome. The variance is the point.
For each launch: the Boxleiter point estimate everyone uses, our calibrated risk range, and what actually happened. Sourced from public dev postmortems. The point of this product isn’t prettier numbers — it’s honest uncertainty quantification so your budget survives the variance.
Pre-sale buyers see these first during the soft-launch beta.
Pre-launch updates: methodology, calibration validation runs, real launches we’re testing against, what we’re learning from beta testers. No spam. Bi-weekly.